The results of the U.S. midterm elections, with the Democrats winning in the House of Representatives and the Senate, will have significant impacts on the foreign policies of this country, especially in relation to Iran and other countries. With Donald Trump losing control of Congress, concerns about escalating tensions with Iran are increasing.
Changes in the U.S. Approach to Iran
The recent elections reflect voter fatigue with military conflicts, which some attribute to rising gas prices. Some Gulf governments believe that Trump is now more than ever seeking a peace agreement with Iran, and the likelihood of a new military attack on this country after the elections is lower.
Read more: Netanyahu's rivals capitalize on the Democrats' victory in the U.S. Congress
However, the Democrats' victory may boost Iran's morale. Abtesam Al-Ketbi from the Emirates Policy Center states that if Tehran understands that Trump needs an agreement, this could create a real opportunity to end the war, but if this vote is interpreted as weakness, it may lead to new military escalation.
Impact on Israel and the Energy Market
For Israel, Democratic control of Congress may lead to increased scrutiny of its military operations in Iran and Gaza. These changes could also affect America's historical support for Israel. Rivals are using Netanyahu's weakness in maintaining bipartisan support from the U.S. to their advantage.
A war with Iran has major implications for the global energy market and has limited the supply of oil and liquefied gas from the Gulf. Analysts believe that the election results may breathe new life into peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, and energy market analysts point to recent declines in oil prices.
The Democrats' victory may also encourage Asian countries to continue their investment commitments against tariffs. Meanwhile, some countries expect that the Democrats' inclination to reduce tariffs will benefit trade negotiations with India and China.
Read more: The President of Israel has begun coalition talks · The U.S. government has no immediate plans to attack Iran
