Regional developments in the Persian Gulf have become a turning point. Sahand Iranmehr, a writer and political science researcher, has examined these changes and emphasizes that the recent war began with an aggressive nature and was unpredictable for many actors. This situation could lead to serious changes in the regional order.
Analysis of the War and Its Impacts on the Regional Order
Iranmehr points out that it cannot be said that the security order in the Persian Gulf has been established by Iran; rather, this order has formed in a situation that was beyond Iran's will and initiative. The war that began continued with Iran's resistance and led to new challenges in the Strait of Hormuz. These developments show that the order intended to be imposed has faced disruptions, raising questions about its nature and continuity.
Challenges and New Security Realities
Iranmehr notes that Iran should not be introduced as a disruptive actor in the international order. A war was imposed on Iran, and after that, Iran's deterrence clearly manifested itself. Although the order formed with disruptions may not be able to survive, recent developments could lead to the establishment of new arrangements based on existing realities.
For example, it was previously thought that the Arab countries bordering the Persian Gulf could secure their security through foreign powers, but this assumption is now facing serious challenges. Additionally, the idea that the United States and Israel can easily exert pressure on Iran contradicts the new realities in alliances and international interactions.
Iranmehr believes that for the formation of the future order, new realities must be taken into account. This order should be based on cooperation with regional countries and the stabilization of a shared understanding of security. In this regard, the reconfiguration of Iran's relations with the Arab countries bordering the Persian Gulf is of special importance.
The realization of this depends on several variables. Exiting the crisis and reaching a safe shore, forming a shared understanding of Iran's role in ensuring security, and a trilateral understanding among Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan are among these variables. If this pact leads to the formation of indigenous arrangements with Iran's participation, hopes for achieving a new order will increase.
Ultimately, if any power believes it can establish the regional order alone, the current chaotic situation will continue. This analysis clearly indicates the need to reconsider security strategies and regional collaborations.
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